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The US Is Facing a Weimar Moment
by Robert Freeman
From: http://www.commondr
eams.org/ view/2009/ 03/15
In
early 1919, Germany put in place a new government to begin rebuilding
the country after its crushing defeat in World War I. But the right-wing
forces that had led the country into the War and lost the War conspired
even before it was over to destroy the new government, the "Weimar
Republic." They succeeded.
The
U.S. faces a similar "Weimar Moment." The devastating
collapse of the economy after eight years of Republican rule has
left the leadership, policies, and ideology of the right utterly
discredited. But, as was the case with Germany in 1919, Republicans
do not intend to allow the new government to succeed. They will
do everything they can to undermine it. If they are successful,
the U.S. may yet go the way of Weimar Germany.
World
War I left Germany utterly devastated. The landed aristocrats, industrial
magnates, wealthy financiers, weapons makers, and the officer corps
of the military that formed the locus of right wing power were completely
discredited. Their failure in provoking and prosecuting the War
was catastrophic, undeniable, and complete.
The
economy was destroyed. Prices were at 800% of pre-war levels and
rising quickly. Agriculture, pillaged for the War, lay in ruins.
Social insurance payments for the War's injured, to widows and orphans,
and newly unemployed soldiers were astronomical. And all this was
before the cost of rebuilding was even begun.
At
the same time, Germany faced massive reparations payments to the
Allied victors, France and England. But Germany's foreign properties
had been confiscated and its colonies turned over to the victors.
The combination of these conditions, both domestic and international,
made it extraordinarily difficult for the German economy to recover.
As
a result of the failure of the right, the German people elected
a moderately leftist government to lead the nation's rebuilding.
It was named the Weimar Republic for the city in which the new post-imperial
constitution was written. The new government was led by Friedrich
Ebert, head of the German Socialist Party.
But
the country's new parliamentary system had allowed dozens of parties
to run, making it impossible for any one party to win an outright
majority. Ebert's party had achieved the highest portion of votes,
38%, in the first post-War elections, held in January 1919. Ebert
would have to govern by coalition.
It
was at this time that the right wing made its crucial decision.
Despite its shocking, naked failure over the prior decade, despite
the horrific devastation it had wrought on the German people, despite
the discrediting of everything they had purported to stand for,
they would fight Ebert, his new government, and its plans for recovery.
They would do everything they could to make sure that the new government
failed.
Their strategy was two-fold: first, stoke the resentment of the
population about the calamitous state of its living conditions-no
matter that those conditions had been created by the very right-wing
oligarchs who now pretended to befriend the little guy. Rage is
rage. It is glandular and unseeing. Once catalyzed it is easy to
turn on any subject.
And
stoking resentment was easy to do. Just before the War ended, the
military concocted its most sensational lie: the German army hadn't
actually been defeated. It had been "stabbed in the back"
by communists, traitors, and Jews. It was an easy lie to sell. It
entwined an attack on an alien political ideology - liberalism-
with the latent, pervasive myth of German racial superiority.
The
second strategy of the right was to prevent the new government from
succeeding. To begin with, success of the left would conspicuously
advertise the failure of the right. Moreover, success by the left
would legitimize republican government, so hated by the oligarchs
of the right. Much better for the people to be ruled by the self-aggrandizing
right-wing autocracy that had governed Germany for centuries.
So
the rightists set out to do everything they could to make it impossible
for the leftists to govern. They would use parliamentary maneuver,
shifting coalitions, domination of the new mass media, legislative
obstruction, staged public relations spectacles, relentless pressure
by narrow but powerful interests, judicial intimidation and, eventually,
outright murder of their political opponents.
Contrition
for their abject failure, humility for their destructive hubris,
compassion for their crippled country-those had nothing to do with
it. All they possessed was a blinding, visceral hatred of the left
and a masturbatory lust for the return to power.
Eventually,
they succeeded. Every setback in recovery - and there would inevitably
be many - was met with hysterical demonizing of the left wing government.
The lie was repeated relentlessly that the government was run by
communists, traitors, and Jews-the same furtive cabal that had purportedly
stabbed the country in the back at the end of the War. They steadily
chipped away at the efficacy and, thereby, the legitimacy of successive
republican governments.
By
the time of the Great Depression, Adolph Hitler's ironically named
National Socialist Party had become the biggest vote getter in the
nation. The Nazis had once been derided as the lunatic fringe of
the far right. But the "respectable" right-wing power
brokers who had started and lost the Great War anointed Hitler Chancellor
in January, 1933.
He immediately suspended the constitution, abolishing most civil
liberties. He outlawed opposition parties, began a massive military
build-up and a relentless propaganda campaign, and set Germany and
the world onto the path of the greatest destruction it would ever
know.
America now faces its own "Weimar moment."
The
failure of right wing policy and leadership over the past eight
years, especially in matters economic, is comparable to Germany's
right-wing failure in World War I. It is catastrophic, undeniable,
and complete.
Consider:
According to the World Economic Forum, forty percent of the entire
world's wealth has been destroyed in the recent financial collapse.
In the U.S. alone, between housing and the stock market, more than
$18 trillion in wealth has already been destroyed.
The
private mega-banks that anchor the financial systems of the western
world are bankrupt. This makes it all but impossible to jump-start
the western world's economies which are heavily dependent on bank-system
credit to operate.
More
than 10,000 homes go into foreclosure every day. More than 20,000
people lose their job every day. And the collapse is accelerating,
developing its own self-reinforcing dynamic. Job losses breed foreclosures,
reducing demand, leading to more job losses and further degradation
of the financial system. None of the stopgaps designed to stanch
the bleeding have yet worked. There is no bottom in sight.
Meanwhile,
debt has risen to astronomical levels. Reagan and Bush I quadrupled
the national debt in only twelve years. Bush II doubled it again
in only eight. It is now ten times higher than it was in 1980 when
Reagan was elected. Total public and private debt exceeds 300% of
GDP, half again higher than it was in 1929.
The
government's unfunded liabilities, promises it has made to the American
people but for which no payment source can be identified, now exceed
$60 trillion, a literally inconceivable sum that can never, will
never, be paid. Federal Reserve economist Lawrence Kotlikoff has
suggested that the U.S. government is "actuarially bankrupt."
The
full measure of the nation's plight is revealed in Hillary Clinton's
first trip as Secretary of State. It was to China, to beg them to
fund Obama's new fiscal deficits. Without loans from China, the
U.S. economy cannot be revived. The significance of this cannot
be overstated: the U.S. no longer exercises sovereignty over its
own economic affairs. That sovereignty now resides in the hands
of China, the U.S.'s greatest long-term rival.
Thanks
to Republican policies of massive debt and shipping jobs abroad,
the U.S. has technically become a colony of China. It exports raw
materials and imports finished goods, together with the capital
to make up the difference. Should the Chinese decide not to lend
the trillions of dollars the U.S. is begging for, the U.S. economy
will implode, plummeting onto itself in a World Trade Center-like
collapse that will leave dust clouds circling the planet for decades.
Notwithstanding
the destruction inflicted on the economy by Republican policies,
the most devastating breakdown is in the intellectual foundation
on which right wing economic ideology itself is premised. Free market
doctrine, the secular religion of right-wing America, is in utter,
irretrievable shambles.
One
of the most lofty tenets on which free markets are premised is their
claim for themselves that they are "efficient," that is,
that market prices always reflect "fundamental values"
of assets. But if that's true, how could the world's largest insurance
company, AIG, have lost 99.5% of its market value in only 18 months?
How could the world's largest bank, Citibank, have lost 98% of its
value over the same period?
How
could the world's largest brokerage company, Merrill Lynch, have
gone bankrupt and need to be bought by Bank of America? How could
the world's largest car company, General Motors, have lost 95% of
its value and stand on the threshold of extinction? How could the
world's largest industrial conglomerate, General Electric, have
lost 85% of its value in only 18 months?
If
the largest companies in the world, those at the very heart of the
capitalist system itself, can lose virtually all of their value
in only 18 months, what is the possible meaning of the phrases "efficient
markets" and "fundamental value"?
The
other core tenets of free market ideology are equally compromised.
Major actors are clearly not rational - a breakdown of theological
proportions admitted by no less an avatar of the cult than its pope
himself, Alan Greenspan. Free markets clearly cannot, will not,
regulate themselves. It is precisely their innate, irrepressible
propensity for sociopathic greed and predatory fraud that has brought
the whole of the world's economy to the precipice of collapse.
Free
markets clearly do not align risk and reward, allocating capital
to its most productive uses, as its promoters advertise. They clearly
do not automatically return to equilibrium, but must be bailed out
with trillions of dollars of injections from the shrinking coffers
of the public to the ever-bulging coffers of a private priesthood
of pillage and plunder.
And in perhaps the greatest indictment of all, one going back to
its primeval roots in Adam Smith's eighteenth century opus, The
Wealth of Nations, the unrestrained behavior of self-interested
individuals clearly, manifestly, does not "coalesce as if by
an Invisible Hand to the greatest good for the greatest number."
These
are not peripheral premises that have failed. They are not tangential
tenets. Efficient markets. Rational actors. Market equilibrium.
Risk and reward. Self interest. These are the essential sacraments
on which the entire free market system is founded. They are in tatters.
And it isn't that any one of them has been discredited by the glaring,
merciless force of events. All of them have been. All of them together.
And all of them at the same time.
Free
markets have long been the basis for a legitimate - though rightly
debated - economic policy framework. But they have become little
more than a robotically- recited cultural catechism, a mindless
mantra mumbled to mask the looting of the nation's resources that
is the true purpose of Republican economic policy as demonstrated
by the staggering upward transfers of wealth that inevitably occur
under Republican regimes. A more complete, conspicuous, catastrophic,
and irrefutable repudiation of right wing leaders, right wing policies,
and right wing ideology could not possibly be contrived.
So
what is the right wing response?
They
have adopted the strategy and tactics of the failed right wing plotters
in Weimar Germany. First, stoke the resentment of the population
about the increasingly dire state of its living conditions-no matter
that those conditions were created by the very right-wing oligarchs
who now pretend to befriend the little guy. Rage is rage. It is
glandular and unseeing. Once catalyzed it is easy to turn on any
subject.
Second,
prevent the new government from succeeding in any meaningful endeavor.
The Republicans have set all their efforts to doing everything they
can to make sure the Obama administration fails. Rush Limbaugh's
infamous, "I hope he fails" pronouncement is only the
beginning of the fomenting of hatred from the right. As Limbaugh
said, "Let's be honest. Every Republican in America is hoping
for Obama's failure."
The
same malignant hope oozes unadulterated from all the other Dogpatch
Demagogues that rent themselves out to the Republican party to foment
resentment against anything liberal: Joe the "Plumber,"
Rick Santelli, Glenn Beck, Michael Savage, Ann Coulter, and virtually
every other wing-nut operative whose intellectual stock in trade
has been vaporized by the collision of right-wing policies with
objective reality.
Equally so for the "respectable" members of the party,
the all-but-three Republican members of Congress who refused to
sign on to Obama's first stimulus package and continue to grandstand
against every effort toward any form of progress. Contrition for
their own abject failure, humility for their destructive hubris,
compassion for their crippled country-those have nothing to do with
it. All they possess is a blinding, visceral hatred of the left
and a masturbatory lust for the return to power.
And
what else can they do? Bereft of ideas, bankrupt in ideology, architects
of collapse, obstruction is all they have. If Obama is successful,
it will not only advertise the full extent of their failure, it
will provide a model of liberal governance that would render Republicans
irrelevant for decades, much as FDR's success left them out in the
political cold for an entire generation. Liberal failure is a matter
of life and death for Republicans.
And
it's not at all clear that the liberals won't fail. No one should
underestimate the task at hand. Never before - not even during the
Great Depression - has the country inherited such a daunting, intractable
set of economic problems: a debt burden so crushing; inequality
so vast; a loss of financial sovereignty so constricting; an intellectual
edifice so bankrupt; a private economy so uncompetitive; or an opposition
so callously self interested in its own recovery and so cavalierly
disinterested in the nation's.
The
economy has been so damaged, successful rescue requires threading
a series of policy needles, each of them so complex in their own
right that none could be solved by any administration of the past
50 years. This includes rehabilitating and re-regulating the nation's
banking system, restructuring health care, reducing national dependence
on oil, reviving manufacturing so as to reduce the trade deficit,
rebuilding the nation's crumbling infrastructure, dealing with a
soaring national debt, trying to resuscitate a collapsing housing
market, and all the while maintaining the safety net under 77 million
baby boomers entering retirement with a net worth 60% what it was
only 18 months ago.
Success will require much more than luck, hard work, brilliant policy,
or soaring rhetoric. It will require cooperation and contribution
from every American. It is those two offerings, cooperation and
contribution, that Republicans are intent on withholding, the better
to ensure Obama's failure. Simply put, the Republicans hate Democrats
more than they love America.
If
they succeed in derailing Obama's efforts, the cost will be incalculable.
After
World War I, one of the consequences of the liberal government's
failure was Adolph Hitler. Hitler had a genius for exploiting the
resentment of the German people for their condition. More than 80%
of the Nazi party's members were unemployed. It was these legions
of idle thugs who made up the ranks of Hitler's brownshirt militia,
the SA. The right wing oligarchy that had set out from the beginning
to destroy the Weimar Republic recognized the potency of resentment
and Hitler's genius at exploiting it. It was they who sponsored
Hitler's ascension to Chancellor in 1933.
Resentment
and obstruction are all the right wing in America have to peddle.
Their policies are utterly discredited. Their ideology - even by
its own standards - is a sham. They are so bereft of leaders, their
de facto leader is a former drug addicted, thrice-divorced radio
talk show host. That is literally the best they can muster. But
they have built a national franchise inciting the downwardly mobile
to blame the government, not the right, for their problems, exactly
as Hitler did in the 1920s.
The
Republican propensity for fascism must not be underestimated. Witness
their phony justifications for the war in Iraq, fanning the flames
of nationalistic aggression, just as Hitler did with Austria, the
Sudetenland, Czechoslovakia, and Poland in the 1930s. Consider their
symbiotic embrace of corporate interests in the oil, weapons, telecommunications,
pharmaceutical, finance, and other industries-the same type of corporate
interests that sponsored Hitler's ascent to power. Look at their
efforts to dismantle civil liberties with the Patriot Act and the
Military Commissions Act. Or their relentless, pervasive propaganda
laundered through their corporate-owned right-wing media machine.
These
are the classic hallmarks of fascism. The strategy is to obstruct
recovery, facilitate collapse, and then incite the faux-populism
of public resentment to re-install a corporatist oligarchy which
has failed, but which will not abide a reduction of its privileges
or a diminution of its control. It is a fetid, seditious agenda,
awaiting only its own latter day mustachioed messiah for its final
fulfillment.
World
War I was a once-in-a-millenniu m upset in the architecture of global
power. In four years, it shifted the center of that power from Europe
to the United States. But failure now by the U.S. will shift that
center once again, from the United States to China, out of the western
world where it has resided for the past 500 years. The psychic shock
to the billion-odd people living in western civilization, with its
liberal democracies, capitalist economies, and Enlightenment ideals,
will be incalculable, irretrievable.
This
shift may be inevitable and only a matter of time. It is quite possible
that the damage inflicted on the western world's economy by rapacious
Republicans is already beyond repair. But it will be tragedy beyond
measure if such a shift is consummated by the very wrecking crew
that took us down the road to ruin, all the while so unctuously
proclaiming "patriotism" as its crowning ideal. They are
not patriots and their goal is not the revival of American power.
It is the revival of their own power, even at the expense of America's.
They represent a very dangerous threat to the nation's future.
Robert
Freeman writes on history, economics and education. He can be reached
at robertfreeman10@ yahoo.com.
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